For instance, In Laini Saba and Sarang’ombe wards the ODM candidate got 27 and 22 percent percent respectively with closest challenger getting three percent in the two wards, the same wards ranked highest on number of undecided voters which stood at 56 percent in each of the election units.

The ODM candidate also ranked highest amongst the female voters and youths who are the majority in the Constituency.

A total 30 percent of women voters said they will vote for Imran while 25 percent of the youths also picked Imran as their preferred candidate in case of an election.

The ODM nominee also emerged most popular among the numerous ethnic groupings in the informal settlement.

According to the results, the Orange flag bearer beat other candidates garnering 64 percent of the Nubian votes, 30 percent of Somali votes, 27 percent of Kikuyu votes, 25 percent of the Luo votes21 percent of the Luhya votes and 20 percent of the Kisii votes.

Interestingly, Imran would have beaten both Owalo and Mariga for the Luhya vote even though the community had 47 percent of its voters undecided.

From the results Owalo would have garnered nine percent of the Luhya vote beating Mariga with a paltry two percent.

The poll sampled 500 respondents from the five Wards of the constituency; Laini Saba, Lindi, Makina, Woodley/Kenyatta golf course and Sarang’ombe.

The poll commissioned by the Orange party days to the internal primaries was conducted through a computer Assisted Telephone Interviews and respondents identified from the IEBC 2017 voters register.

From the poll results, ODM remains the most popular individual political party in the slum Constituency with 78 percent of those interviewed identifying with it.

All the other political outfits including the ruling Jubilee party, ANC, Ford Kenya all have one percent popularity index according to the poll results.


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